Ergodicity Simulator
Why the crowd wins while the individual goes broke
The Bet
You start with
$
100
🪙
Heads
+
50
%
$100 → $
150
🌑
Tails
−
40
%
$100 → $
60
+5.0%
Expected Value / bet
−5.2%
Geometric growth / bet
≠
Non-ergodic
Run The Simulation →
← Back
Ergodicity Simulator
1000 People
1 Person
+%
Heads
−%
Tails
Start $
People
Periods
Scale
Log
Linear
Speed
Fast
Medium
Slow
▶ Run
↺ Re-run
Bet Fraction
100%
◆ Kelly
Kelly: —
Geo: —
—
Recent: